Sunday, May 15, 2016

NEWS POST: The Age Of Mass Innovation — The Economist

We are all innovators now
Editor’s Note: This article was written 2007. Several changes have taken place over this period of time. For instance, by traditional measures, like spending on research and the number of patents registered, or less tangible but more important ones, like the number of entrepreneurial start-ups, levels of venture-capital funding or the payback from new inventions, America is no longer at the presumptive top of the league. And Elon Musk has made much stride with his investment at Tesla, producing electric car, dominating a niche market in the US. Yet this article, rather prescient on the evolution of mass innovation, has relevance in the present development. 

"Innovation is no longer about money, it’s about the climate: are individuals allowed to flourish and take risks?"

John Kao is an innovation guru described as "Mr Creativity" by this newspaper a decade ago. Now he is concerned about America losing its global lead and becoming "the fat, complacent Detroit of nations". In his new book, "Innovation Nation", he points to warning signs, such as America’s underinvestment in physical infrastructure, its slow start on broadband, its pitiful public schools and its frostiness toward immigrants since September 11th 2001 even though immigrants provided much of America’s creativity. The rise of Asia’s innovators is a "silent Sputnik", he argues, invoking a cold war analogy. What America needs, he reckons, is a big push by federal government to promote innovation, akin to the Apollo space project that put a man on the moon.

Curtis Carlson puts it in starker terms: "India and China are a tsunami about to overwhelm us." As head of California’s Stanford Research Institute, Mr Carlson knows the strengths of Silicon Valley from first-hand experience. And yet here he is insisting that America’s information technology, services and medical-devices industries are about to be lost. "I predict that millions of jobs will be destroyed in our country, like in the 1980s when American firms refused to adopt total-quality management techniques while the Japanese surged ahead." The only way out, he insists, is "to learn the tools of innovation" and forge entirely new, knowledge-based industries in energy technology, biotechnology and other science-based sectors.

It is natural to be sceptical of such dour arguments and calls for government action. After all, the United States still leads in innovation. Whether it is by traditional measures, like spending on research and the number of patents registered, or less tangible but more important ones, like the number of entrepreneurial start-ups, levels of venture-capital funding or the payback from new inventions, America is invariably at the top of the league. Indeed, the Council on Competitiveness recently concluded in a report that, by and large, the outlook is bright for America.

Yet the same council’s innovation task force also gave warning that other countries are making heavy investments that threaten to erode America’s position. It would like a big push in four areas: improving science, engineering and maths education; welcoming skilled immigrants; beefing up government spending on basic research; and offering tax incentives to spur "US-based innovation."

These are mostly sensible recommendations because they focus on those framework conditions and bits of infrastructure that the market would not provide on its own. Where such prescriptions tend to go awry is when they argue for specific subsidies or tax breaks for favoured industries (like supporting only "US-based" innovation in today’s world of global creative networks). After all, the Schumpeterian forces of creative destruction must be allowed to work their magic.

Resilience in the face of those disruptive forces gave Silicon Valley the edge over its nearest high-tech rival, Boston’s Route 128 technology corridor. Both clusters were riding high until the personal computer and distributed-computing changed the market. Firms went through wrenching change, but those in northern California, like Hewlett-Packard and Xerox, emerged stronger than those near Boston, like Digital Equipment and Wang_which no longer exist. As Berkeley’s AnnaLee Saxenian has shown, Silicon Valley’s champions were nimble and networked but those on Route 128 were brittle, topdown bureaucracies.

Where the magic happens Sergey Brin, who co-founded Google with Mr Page, insists that "Silicon Valley doesn’t have better ideas and isn’t smarter than the rest of the world" but it has the edge in filtering ideas and executing them. That magic still happens and attracts people from around the world who are "bold, ambitious, determined to scale up and able to raise money here actually to do it." Mr Brin points to Elon Musk as an example.

Mr Musk moved from South Africa to eventually settle in California to make his fortune. His equation for success is: "talent times drive times opportunity". Unlike many countries, America is never satisfied with the status quo. "There is a culture here that celebrates the achievements of individuals and it is too often forgotten in history that it is individuals, not governments or economic systems, that are responsible for extraordinary breakthroughs," he says.

That explains why the best innovation policy is probably one that does the least. Liberty is a powerful force. In the past, as Mr Brin notes, innovation was dominated by elites --- the "wealthy gentlemen tinkerers", for example who had privileged access to information, money and markets.

He is right. The history of innovation is filled with elites and centralized processes.

But look closer and you find that ordinary people have always silently played a role. In "A Culture of Improvement: Technology and the Western Millennium", Robert Friedel shows how countless small efforts by individuals, from all rungs on society’s ladder, contributed to the astonishing advances that we enjoy in today’s post-modern, post-industrial societies.

Imagine how much better firms and countries could innovate if they could harness the distributed creative potential of all these innovators-in-waiting. The key, Mr Friedel observes, is freedom: "Technology and the pursuit of improvement are ultimate expressions of freedom; of the capacity of humans to reject the limitations of their past and their experience, to transcend the boundaries of their biological capacities and their social traditions."

To put it the other way round, domineering bosses and governments may notch up some success, but history shows that it will at best be limited and may stagnate. "You can ordain the money but not the brilliance and free-thinking," says Ideo’s Mr Brown. "Creative people like to challenge constraints and authority."

As industries become more knowledge- based and more firms turn to open and user-led innovation models to keep a step ahead of disruptive innovators, governments will have to think more carefully about what, if anything, they can do to keep their economies competitive. Often that will mean a lighter touch. As William Weldon, chairman of Johnson & Johnson, a health-care giant, observes: "Innovation is no longer about money, it’s about the climate: are individuals allowed to flourish and take risks?"

Stewart Brand, an internet pioneer, has famously argued that "information wants to be free." So surely the knowledge worker, the creator of that information, also needs the same freedom. Companies and governments can find an innovator inside everyone; they just need to liberate them. Moreover, the rising tide of inventions that make one country wealthy benefits others that bring those clever ideas to market or simply make use of those products, processes and services.

In an age of mass innovation the world may even find profitable ways to deliver solutions to the 21st century’s greatest needs, including sustainable clean energy, affordable and universal healthcare for ageing populations and quite possibly entirely new industries. The one natural resource that the world has left in infinite quantity is human ingenuity.
Originally published by THE ECONOMIST

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